I · First Principles
The State of the Air
—
°C · Dry Bulb
—
Every story begins here: the kinetic energy of molecules. Temperature is not heat — it is the mean translational velocity of air molecules, each vibrating at ~500 m/s. From this raw number and nothing more, we can summon physics.
T_K = T_C + 273.15
e_s = 6.112 · exp(17.67·T_C / (T_C+243.5)) [hPa]
Current e_s = — hPa | e = — hPa
Dewpoint: —°C · RH: —%
e_s = 6.112 · exp(17.67·T_C / (T_C+243.5)) [hPa]
Current e_s = — hPa | e = — hPa
II · The Weight of the Sky
Pressure & Air Density
—
hPa · MSLP
—
kg/m³ · ρ
Ten tons of air pressing on every square meter. The ideal gas law in disguise:
ρ = P / (Rd · Tv) where Rd = 287.05 J/(kg·K)
Tv = T·(1 + w/ε)/(1+w) [virtual temperature]
ρ_now = — kg/m³ | Tv = — K
Moist air is lighter than dry air at the same T and P — water vapor displaces heavier N₂ and O₂. This single fact drives thunderstorm initiation, sea breezes, and monsoons.
Tv = T·(1 + w/ε)/(1+w) [virtual temperature]
ρ_now = — kg/m³ | Tv = — K
III · The Conserved Quantities
Potential Temperature Family — the atmosphere's memory
θ · Pot. Temp
—
K · adiabatic
θ_v · Virtual
—
K · includes moisture
θ_e · Equiv.
—
K · latent heat locked
θ_e − θ
—
K · instability proxy
θ is the temperature a parcel would have if compressed (or expanded) dry-adiabatically to 1000 hPa — it is conserved during dry adiabatic ascent, the atmosphere's fingerprint.
θ = T·(P₀/P)^(Rd/cp) where P₀=1000 hPa, cp=1005.7 J/(kg·K)
θ_v = θ·(1+w/ε)/(1+w) [buoyancy-relevant]
θ_e = θ·exp((3.376/T_L − 0.00254)·w·(1+0.81w)) [Bolton 1980]
When θ_e−θ is large → moist instability, convective potential unleashed
At peak heating today, θ reached — K — the parcel rose 11 km before the lapse rate said stop.
θ_v = θ·(1+w/ε)/(1+w) [buoyancy-relevant]
θ_e = θ·exp((3.376/T_L − 0.00254)·w·(1+0.81w)) [Bolton 1980]
When θ_e−θ is large → moist instability, convective potential unleashed
IV · Moisture Transport
Mixing Ratio & the LCL
—
g/kg · mixing ratio
—
m · LCL height
—
The Lifting Condensation Level — cloud base — the exact altitude where this parcel's vapor pressure equals saturation:
▲ LCL tower: lower = moister = earlier cloud formation
w = ε·e/(P−e) [kg/kg]
LCL ≈ 125·(T_C − Td_C) [m]
Sat ratio = w/w_s = —
LCL ≈ 125·(T_C − Td_C) [m]
Sat ratio = w/w_s = —
V · The Vector Field
Wind — From Speed to Flux
FROM
—
degrees
Speed becomes vector. U and V components are the building blocks of divergence, vorticity, and flux:
u = −|V|·sin(wd) [m/s · eastward]
v = −|V|·cos(wd) [m/s · northward]
u = — | v = — m/s
|V| = — m/s Gust: — mph
With a network of stations, ∂u/∂x + ∂v/∂y gives us divergence — positive = sinking air = clearing; negative = convergence = rising = storms.
v = −|V|·cos(wd) [m/s · northward]
u = — | v = — m/s
|V| = — m/s Gust: — mph
VI · Energy Exchange
Sensible Heat Flux & Bowen Ratio
—
W/m² · H flux
—
W/m² · solar
The surface breathes energy into the atmosphere:
H = ρ·cp·CH·|V|·(Ts−Ta) [W/m²]
CH ≈ 0.01 [bulk transfer coeff]
Bowen Ratio B = H/LE ≈ (1−RH)/RH
Bowen Ratio: the split between sensible (warming) and latent (moistening) heat exchange:
CH ≈ 0.01 [bulk transfer coeff]
Bowen Ratio B = H/LE ≈ (1−RH)/RH
WET
DRY
—
VII · Convective Potential
CAPE Proxy & Buoyancy
—
J/kg · ≈CAPE
CAPE — Convective Available Potential Energy — is the integral of buoyancy through the troposphere. This proxy uses θ_e − θ:
CAPE ≈ ∫ (g/T)·(T_parcel−T_env) dz
Proxy: (θ_e − θ)·g/θ·Δz_eff
CAPE_proxy = — J/kg
<500: stable · 500-1500: moderate · >2000: significant
Through this day you can watch buoyancy build with the solar forcing — the atmosphere storing energy like a coiled spring — and then relax as the sun descends, the molecules quieting their uprising urge.
Proxy: (θ_e − θ)·g/θ·Δz_eff
CAPE_proxy = — J/kg
<500: stable · 500-1500: moderate · >2000: significant
VIII · The Grand Synthesis
All Variables, Live
Stand back far enough and you see it: a single weather station is a node in a tensor field. Temperature and humidity are scalars. Wind is a vector. Their spatial gradients — when you place stations around it — birth the tensor quantities: the strain rate of the wind field, the deformation tensor, the rate of vorticity generation. Each parcel of air at this station right now is a Lagrangian tracer of the broader flow. Its θ_e is its passport — it came from somewhere with that entropy, and it is bound for somewhere else, carrying that fingerprint into the next hour's sounding, the next county's sky.
The molecules don't know they are writing a narrative. But they are.
The molecules don't know they are writing a narrative. But they are.