PRECIP48 / S2.5G final integration • standalone local viewer • historical evidence package

Scientific integration viewer

One real RRFS S2.5 case, cycle . This page is deliberately a scientific review surface, not the separate production frontend.

UPSTREAM 358/359/360/361: PASSREAL HISTORICAL DATARAW FIVE-MEMBER N=5NOT CALIBRATED / NOT OPERATIONAL

Fixed-window field preview

real values, decimated for local display

Hourly timeline

48 one-hour APCP intervals

Five-member comparison

fixed 48-hour accumulation summaries

Pointwise empirical products

Choose P10/P25/P50/P75/P90 in the field control. These are fixed-window, pointwise empirical fields derived from the five intact members. They are not calibrated probabilities.

P10–P90linear interpolation across raw member values
0, .2, .4, .6, .8, 1only possible raw exceedance fractions for N=5

Empirical exceedance probabilities

Choose a threshold product in the field control. Values are raw member fractions at or above the threshold, with no smoothing or calibration.

Coherent intact-member scenarios

whole-realization rank selection

Scenario maps are copied from intact members. No scalar rescaling, cellwise percentile mosaic, or independent cell selection was used.

AOI event summaries

Camp Hill 50-km AOI; wet threshold 0.254 mm/h; closure after 6 consecutive dry hours; right censoring is retained.

MRMS verification diagnostics

Remapping audit conclusion

Provenance and limits

Part of Precip48 on CPA Weather Lab. Research material: real historical data, raw five-member ensemble, not calibrated and not an operational forecast.