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Pennsylvania Custom Drought Dashboard

Offline fixed version. Latest month: 2025-12. Cross-scale is -5 to +5; blue means lower drought risk or wet/cool relief, red means elevated drought risk. Multiplier translation is 2^(score).

Grid boxes
2,484
Latest statewide mean score
-0.04
Latest statewide mean multiplier
1.09x
Worst statewide month
1963-10

Method

Each box is standardized by calendar month. The atmospheric demand proxy is 0.60*z_vpdmax + 0.25*z_tmean + 0.15*z_soltotal. The water budget anomaly is z_ppt - ev_demand_z. Persistence is added, then the final drought score is log-scaled and capped from -5 to +5.

Latest Custom Drought Score

Score from -5 to +5. Blue means relief, red means drought stress.

Latest Custom Drought Score

Latest Risk Multiplier

This uses log2(multiplier), so +1 means 2x and +5 means 32x.

Latest Risk Multiplier

Heat-driven Drought Propensity

Squares more prone to heat-amplified drought across severe-drought months.

Heat-driven Drought Propensity

Clear-sky / Solar Drought Propensity

Squares where unusual solar/clear-sky conditions tend to contribute strongly.

Clear-sky / Solar Drought Propensity

Precipitation-deficit Drought Propensity

Squares where lack of precipitation is the dominant drought ingredient.

Precipitation-deficit Drought Propensity

VPD-demand Drought Propensity

Squares where atmospheric demand/VPD is a bigger driver.

VPD-demand Drought Propensity

Overall Severe-drought Propensity

Average severe-drought tendency across the record.

Overall Severe-drought Propensity

Statewide Score Through Time

Monthly statewide mean custom drought score.

Statewide Score Through Time

Latest Score by Elevation Band

Latest score grouped into 1000-foot elevation bands.

Latest Score by Elevation Band

Top 10 Worst Statewide Months

Worst statewide months by the standardized custom drought score.

Top 10 Worst Statewide Months

Top 5 Worst Drought Months by Region

region date mean_score mean_standard_score mean_multiplier dominant_driver
Central 1963-10 3.034 2.121 8.239 heat-clear
Central 1941-04 2.987 1.812 7.993 heat-clear
Central 1998-12 2.861 1.692 7.540 heat-clear
Central 1931-11 2.818 1.529 7.298 heat-clear
Central 1910-03 2.780 2.040 6.911 heat-clear
Central_North 1963-10 3.135 2.235 8.847 heat-clear
Central_North 1947-10 3.039 1.897 8.270 heat-clear
Central_North 1941-04 2.912 1.747 7.615 heat-clear
Central_North 1910-03 2.772 2.039 6.861 heat-clear
Central_North 1998-12 2.770 1.582 6.988 heat-clear
Central_South 1963-10 3.106 2.085 8.740 heat-clear
Central_South 1941-04 2.945 1.811 7.754 heat-clear
Central_South 1998-12 2.941 1.744 8.008 heat-clear
Central_South 2002-02 2.940 1.531 7.934 heat-clear
Central_South 1910-03 2.824 2.065 7.130 heat-clear
North 1963-10 3.168 2.244 9.032 heat-clear
North 1947-10 3.154 2.012 8.945 heat-clear
North 1991-06 2.864 1.638 7.388 heat-clear
North 1910-03 2.798 2.073 6.980 heat-clear
North 1998-12 2.789 1.574 6.986 heat-clear
South 2002-02 3.151 1.665 9.188 heat-clear
South 1963-10 2.999 1.981 8.117 heat-clear
South 1998-12 2.959 1.703 8.020 heat-clear
South 1910-03 2.840 2.033 7.213 heat-clear
South 2001-11 2.750 1.529 7.015 heat-clear

Top 10 Worst Statewide Drought Months

date mean_score mean_standard_score mean_multiplier dominant_driver
1963-10 3.088 2.133 8.595 heat-clear
1998-12 2.864 1.659 7.509 heat-clear
1941-04 2.860 1.724 7.376 heat-clear
1947-10 2.833 1.712 7.262 heat-clear
1910-03 2.803 2.050 7.019 heat-clear
1931-11 2.664 1.438 6.568 heat-clear
2002-02 2.655 1.361 6.823 heat-clear
1911-05 2.602 1.663 6.116 heat-clear
2012-03 2.599 1.459 6.390 heat-clear
1991-06 2.590 1.400 6.222 heat-clear

Latest Elevation Band Summary

elev_band box_count mean_drought_score mean_standard_score mean_multiplier
0-999 721 0.358 0.127 1.379
1000-1999 1588 -0.210 -0.113 0.975
2000-2999 175 -0.098 -0.058 1.045
3000+ 0 NaN NaN NaN
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